Originally published in MIT Management, September 19, 2023. Why It Matters Relevance-based prediction can be used in finance, politics, and sports for more accurate forecasting. What if we told you there was a new financial forecasting model accurate enough to predict the outcome of the next U.S. presidential election or next season’s NBA draft prospects?
Originally published in US Santa Cruz NEWSCENTER, February 12, 2024 New research indicates that methods used to test the accuracy of link prediction are flawed, and that link prediction does not work as well as common benchmarking...
Originally published in Sequoia Stories, June 20, 2024. The AI bubble is reaching a tipping point. Navigating what comes next will be essential. In September 2023, I published AI’s $200B Question. The goal of the piece was...
Originally published in The Verge, May 24, 2024. The company confirmed it is ‘taking swift action’ to remove some of the AI tool’s bizarre responses. Social media is abuzz with examples of Google’s new AI Overview product...
Originally published in Delphina, May 29, 2024. When I (Duncan) was on Uber’s Marketplace team, we would (semi) joke that we were lurching from crisis to crisis. Our dozens of core machine learning products directly controlled billions...
Originally published in O’Reilly, October 24, 2023. Ever since the current craze for AI-generated everything took hold, I’ve wondered: what will happen when the world is so full of AI-generated stuff (text, software, pictures, music) that our...
Originally published in Live Science, May 31, 2024. Last year, claims that OpenAI’s GPT-4 model beat 90% of trainee lawyers on the bar exam generated a flurry of media hype. But these claims were likely overstated, a...
Originally published in GeekWire, April 17, 2024 In-depth Amazon coverage from the tech giant’s hometown, including e-commerce, AWS, Amazon Prime, Alexa, logistics, devices, and more. Amazon’s grocery technology has been in the news a lot over the...
Originally published in Strange Loop Canon, April 23, 2024 On goal drift and lower reliability. Or, why can’t LLMs play Conway’s Game Of Life? Every time over the past few years that we came up with problems...
Originally published in FinancialPlanning, April 8, 2024 Most advisors agree that AI technology can provide efficiencies, whether it be through streamlining workflow or communicating more effectively with clients. However, the jury is out on whether these budding...